This month sees the updates of many of our population-related applications and datasets.
- New data for 2018 added to State/county annual population change, Population trends with demographics, and Population estimates by age applications.
- NCHS (National Center for Health Statistics) “bridged race” estimates added for 2018, including state- and county-level numbers with detail by single years of age, race, sex, and hispanic origin. These datasets are located in the nchsbri directory of our data archive.
- Population and components of change estimates: 2018 data added for Missouri and USA. These datasets are located in the popests directory of our data archive. The uscom18 dataset includes estimates of the total population of counties, states, and the US for July 1 of each year from 2010 to 2018, along with annual birth, death, international and domestic migration estimates (the components of change). The ushuest2018 dataset includes estimates of total housing units by county for each year from 2010 through 2018. The ussc18 dataset includes estimates of the total population of places (cities) and other subcounty geographic areas for each year starting with 2010 and ending with 2018. All of these datasets have corresponding Missouri-only versions, e.g. mohuest2018 for MO housing unit estimates.
- Curmoests (current MO estimates): This Excel spreadsheet includes the latest available (2018) population estimates for Missouri counties and places (incorporated cities).
As always, please contact the MCDC website manager with any questions or comments.
A new MCDC data application, Population Estimates by Age and Demographics, provides population data at the state and county level for multiple age cohorts, data years, and demographic groups. These data are based on US Census populations with special “bridged race” categories created by the Census Bureau for the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS).
The new application allows users to select one or more states (including counties, for single-state selections), data years (1990–2015), demographic groups, and age cohorts. There are two predefined age cohort sets, and users may also define up to 20 custom age cohorts, including both single year of age and multi-year age ranges. Age ranges may overlap.
This application complements our other population estimates apps, in particular the Population Trends app, which uses the same NCHS source data to compare population estimates between two data years. However, the Population Trends application is simpler, using only predefined age cohorts and a more limited set of data years and demographic groups. This new application offers more options and an Excel data export feature.
We hope you find this a useful tool. Please contact us with any problems, bugs, or suggestions.
For the upcoming November 8 Election Day, this month we present a view of registered voters in Missouri.
Looking at the map (left) of registered voters in 2013 as a percentage of total county population ages 18 and older, we see some interesting patterns. The areas around Kansas City and St. Louis represent two large blocks of registered voters, but that shouldn’t surprise anyone, because those places represent the two largest concentrations of people in the state. (The map on the right shows where Missourians aged 18 and older live.)
What about the rest of the state, though? Dade County stands out with a fairly high percentage of registered voters, but neither Boone nor Cole counties are in the top tier of voter registration. Then there are counties with lower total populations but higher registration rates: Carter, Chariton, Clark, Gentry, Reynolds, Shelby, Ste. Genevieve, and Worth are all in the highest tier of voter registration, despite not being highly populated.
What’s the point? In addition to the usual message of “every vote counts,” these two maps show that large populations do not necessarily translate to large voter populations. This will make for some interesting viewing once the returns start coming in on Election Day. Keep in mind, too, that this map of voter registration rates can be compared to a map of voter turnout to see whether these patterns remain the same. That’s a comparison for another month.
According to the U.S. Census, Missouri had a population of 5,988,927 people in 2010. Where do they all live, though? What is the fewest number of counties required to represent half of the population? Or the fewest number of census blocks? Or, with 2016 being an election year, the fewest number of voter tabulation districts?
In each case, it turns out that you don’t need that many. If you were collecting counties, you would need only seven — Clay, Greene, Jackson, Jefferson, St. Charles, St. Louis, and St. Louis City. That’s just 6% of Missouri’s total of 115 counties.
Voter tabulation districts tell a similar story. To get to half of Missouri’s population, you would need only 941 of the 4,813 districts in the state, or roughly 19%.
Most starkly of all, out of Missouri’s 343,565 census blocks, you would need only 5.3%, or 18,455, to represent half the state’s population.
We have updated our latest (2013 vintage) Missouri county and subcounty population estimates. The Excel file contains four worksheets with different levels of geography — counties, cities (all, alphabetical), cities sorted by county, and all levels including subcounty units and partials. Get the file here or visit the Population Estimates page.